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Red77
565429.4
459026.2
610416.4
Blue135
383523.0
169069.8
822318.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681305010015020077135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#18
29.40.4
29.930.3
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End6.7
blue by 40.4
69.81.1
71.572.6
Auto17.1
Teleop41.4
End11.3
Second
4590
#21
26.20.4
25.726.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End9.7
red by 3.2
3835
#11
23.01.1
22.523.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
6104
#32
16.40.4
16.016.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 2.5
8223
#30
18.91.1
19.820.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned