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Red23
674020.5
223014.9
599010.7
Blue95
263035.2
598727.8
616815.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598220401001201402395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#25
20.52.6
25.422.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.3
blue by 14.7
35.21.4
33.334.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.1
End7.0
Second
2230
#37
14.92.6
17.414.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 12.9
27.81.4
26.527.9
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
Third
5990
#39
10.72.6
15.312.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End5.3
blue by 5.3
6168
#40
15.91.4
13.915.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned