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Red101
383523.0
338826.2
307535.7
Blue69
194314.7
703929.1
513520.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9957020408012014016010169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#12
35.70.6
38.238.9
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.7
red by 6.6
7039
#14
29.10.7
27.127.8
Auto6.0
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Second
3388
#29
26.20.6
25.325.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End5.4
red by 5.4
5135
#26
20.80.7
19.920.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2
Third
3835
#11
23.00.6
24.124.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End6.6
red by 8.3
1943
#36
14.70.7
12.012.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed