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Red65
674020.5
571525.9
817516.4
Blue27
822318.9
306516.4
474420.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66742040801001201406527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.1
23.423.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End8.9
red by 5.0
4744
#23
20.92.7
22.219.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End7.5
Second
6740
#25
20.50.1
22.322.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.3
red by 1.6
8223
#30
18.92.7
21.418.6
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
Third
8175
#27
16.40.1
17.117.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End4.6
Level
3065
#35
16.42.7
24.521.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsMissed