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Red49
433825.2
563513.8
15809.7
Blue84
598727.8
784532.1
223014.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478202040601001204984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4338
#15
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End9.7
blue by 6.9
32.10.8
31.432.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End12.0
Second
5635
#38
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End7.6
blue by 14.0
27.80.8
27.228.0
Auto8.6
Teleop9.1
End10.0
Third
1580
#34
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End3.1
blue by 5.2
2230
#37
14.90.8
14.114.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned