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Red135
331628.6
194314.7
157758.8
Blue87
223129.9
165722.8
458625.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11375406010014016018013587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.82.0
60.562.5
Auto15.0
Teleop32.7
End11.2
red by 28.9
2231
#17
29.90.8
29.330.1
Auto7.8
Teleop17.7
End4.4
Second
3316
#16
28.62.0
28.030.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
red by 2.7
4586
#31
25.80.8
25.025.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End11.2
Third
1943
#36
14.72.0
12.714.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End5.5
blue by 8.1
1657
#19
22.80.8
20.721.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.0
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned