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Red126
263035.2
474420.9
333945.8
Blue73
513520.8
822318.9
338826.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136205010015012673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.81.5
45.246.7
Auto12.9
Teleop24.0
End8.9
red by 19.6
3388
#29
26.20.3
25.926.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End5.4
Second
35.21.5
35.236.6
Auto11.1
Teleop17.1
End7.0
red by 14.4
5135
#26
20.80.3
20.620.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End8.2
Third
4744
#23
20.91.5
19.520.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End7.5
red by 2.0
8223
#30
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned