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Red37
82239.0
67388.1
610415.6
Blue29
193710.1
321115.4
706714.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323802060803729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#16
15.60.6
12.912.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 0.1
3211
#15
15.41.1
13.011.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End6.4
Second
8223
#14
9.00.6
7.87.1
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End4.8
blue by 5.3
7067
#11
14.31.1
10.89.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End4.6
Third
6738
#20
8.10.6
10.09.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 2.0
1937
#22
10.11.1
10.99.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed