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Red20
223116.8
555412.7
43191.3
Blue25
19439.2
223010.7
529110.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46260204060801002025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#21
16.82.3
14.111.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End5.5
red by 6.1
2230
#26
10.71.1
8.87.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End3.1
Second
5554
#10
12.72.3
16.414.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
red by 2.8
5291
#18
10.01.1
7.56.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.9
End0.8
Third
4319
#28
1.32.3
9.87.5
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.6
End0.6
blue by 7.9
1943
#23
9.21.1
10.79.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed