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Red31
209618.4
459018.4
565423.0
Blue20
306519.9
88437.0
674012.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4317060803120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.7
13.012.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.1
End5.9
red by 3.2
19.90.8
11.811.0
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End5.8
Second
18.40.7
11.510.9
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
red by 6.2
6740
#12
12.20.8
3.32.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Third
4590
#17
18.40.7
12.411.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End6.6
red by 11.3
8843
#27
7.00.8
4.43.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed