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Red26
459018.4
43191.3
82239.0
Blue42
67388.1
223116.8
433815.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264402060801002642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#17
18.40.9
11.710.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End6.6
red by 1.6
2231
#21
16.80.4
11.912.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End5.5
Second
8223
#14
9.00.9
7.16.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End4.8
blue by 6.8
15.80.4
17.317.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.0
Third
4319
#28
1.30.9
7.56.6
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.6
End0.6
blue by 6.8
6738
#20
8.10.4
9.49.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed