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Red39
610415.6
71128.8
565423.0
Blue56
674012.2
209618.4
223010.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382001030506070803956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.6
12.413.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.1
End5.9
red by 4.6
18.43.4
10.914.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
Second
6104
#16
15.60.6
12.212.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 3.3
6740
#12
12.23.4
2.45.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Third
7112
#19
8.80.6
9.09.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End3.4
blue by 1.9
2230
#26
10.73.4
7.711.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned