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Red42
306519.9
67388.1
19439.2
Blue16
71128.8
157423.1
15763.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344402060804216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
15.315.4
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End5.8
blue by 3.2
23.12.9
21.919.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
1943
#23
9.20.1
8.68.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.4
red by 0.5
7112
#19
8.83.1
13.710.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End3.4
Third
6738
#20
8.10.1
9.09.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 4.3
1576
#25
3.92.9
4.21.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed