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Red41
706714.3
555412.7
223010.7
Blue21
82239.0
157725.1
433815.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3559020801004121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7067
#11
14.30.5
12.613.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End4.6
blue by 10.9
25.13.6
23.820.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Second
5554
#10
12.70.5
12.312.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
blue by 3.1
15.83.6
17.614.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.0
Third
2230
#26
10.70.5
11.311.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End3.1
red by 1.7
8223
#14
9.03.6
10.66.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed