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Red41
674012.2
610415.6
321115.4
Blue31
15763.9
157725.1
223116.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314502060801004131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#16
15.61.0
8.89.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 9.6
25.11.5
20.619.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Second
3211
#15
15.40.9
13.114.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End6.4
blue by 1.3
2231
#21
16.81.6
15.413.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End5.5
Third
6740
#12
12.21.0
9.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
red by 8.4
1576
#25
3.91.5
4.12.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed