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Red48
459018.4
193710.1
67419.3
Blue70
306519.9
209618.4
331624.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286402040801004870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#17
18.41.6
15.617.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End6.6
blue by 6.3
24.70.3
21.221.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.4
Second
1937
#22
10.11.7
7.18.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9
blue by 9.8
19.90.3
16.616.8
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End5.8
Third
6741
#24
9.31.7
7.89.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 9.1
18.40.3
17.317.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned