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Red54
459018.4
433815.8
223010.7
Blue41
157423.1
209618.4
193710.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47550204060801005441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#17
18.40.0
18.318.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End6.6
blue by 4.8
23.10.2
22.822.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.0
blue by 2.6
18.40.2
18.117.9
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
Third
2230
#26
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End3.1
red by 0.6
1937
#22
10.10.2
9.89.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9