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Red52
459018.4
433815.8
223010.7
Blue70
157423.1
209618.4
193710.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540204060801005270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
#17
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End6.6
blue by 4.8
23.10.4
22.623.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End6.1
Second
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End6.0
blue by 2.6
18.40.4
17.918.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.7
Third
2230
#26
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End3.1
red by 0.6
1937
#22
10.10.4
9.610.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.9
End3.9