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Red50
817513.3
432010.3
529113.7
Blue10
307527.0
46610.4
59286.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060805010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#11
13.70.1
11.711.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 13.2
27.02.3
16.414.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End9.1
Second
13.30.1
12.712.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8
red by 6.7
5928
#27
6.62.3
9.87.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.8
Third
4320
#14
10.30.1
12.312.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
red by 9.9
4661
#26
0.42.3
4.62.3
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed