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Red44
383513.7
62307.0
333932.6
Blue38
165715.8
441611.2
571513.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413002060804438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.3
20.921.2
Auto10.5
Teleop15.7
End6.5
red by 16.8
15.81.0
15.716.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
Second
3835
#12
13.70.3
6.97.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
red by 0.2
5715
#19
13.41.0
7.98.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
6230
#24
7.00.3
9.59.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 4.1
4416
#17
11.21.0
5.76.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsEarned