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Red50
441611.2
598724.2
22127.1
Blue27
165715.8
19544.0
432010.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403710203050605027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.0
20.221.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End8.2
red by 8.4
15.81.3
16.615.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
Second
4416
#17
11.21.0
6.77.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.9
red by 0.9
4320
#14
10.31.3
12.511.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
Third
2212
#23
7.11.0
9.910.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.2
red by 3.1
1954
#28
4.01.3
5.64.3
Auto2.6
Teleop0.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed