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Red38
338813.5
46610.4
383513.7
Blue12
15808.1
59908.4
595112.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24290204060803812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#12
13.71.2
7.28.4
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
red by 0.8
5951
#21
12.81.6
13.211.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Second
13.51.2
13.915.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End3.4
red by 5.1
5990
#22
8.41.6
8.16.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Third
4661
#26
0.41.2
2.33.5
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.6
End-0.3
blue by 7.7
1580
#20
8.11.6
5.63.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed