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Red51
595112.8
571513.4
432010.3
Blue29
529113.7
22127.1
15808.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36300102040506070805129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#19
13.42.0
10.212.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
blue by 0.3
5291
#11
13.70.2
13.913.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Second
5951
#21
12.82.0
11.513.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End5.2
red by 4.7
1580
#20
8.10.4
3.93.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Third
4320
#14
10.32.0
11.213.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
red by 3.2
2212
#23
7.10.4
10.910.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed