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Red63
598724.2
474415.7
383513.7
Blue44
263020.8
71778.9
817513.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48402060806344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.3
21.322.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End8.2
red by 3.4
2630
#13
20.80.2
17.417.6
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
15.71.3
14.015.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.7
red by 2.4
13.30.2
14.214.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Third
3835
#12
13.71.3
8.49.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
red by 4.8
7177
#25
8.90.2
6.56.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed