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Red45
56358.9
513513.8
165715.8
Blue3
46610.4
616810.4
529113.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343001020405060453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.81.4
15.316.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
red by 2.1
5291
#11
13.71.7
13.711.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Second
5135
#16
13.81.5
8.910.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 3.4
6168
#15
10.42.9
11.78.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Third
5635
#18
8.91.5
7.38.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End5.5
red by 8.5
4661
#26
0.42.9
3.50.6
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed