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Red90
333932.6
263020.8
307527.0
Blue36
432010.3
458616.1
598724.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61543040507080909036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.63.5
22.525.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.7
End6.5
red by 8.4
24.22.0
22.520.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End8.2
Second
27.03.5
16.519.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End9.1
red by 10.8
16.12.0
15.613.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End7.5
Third
2630
#13
20.83.5
17.621.1
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 10.5
4320
#14
10.32.0
13.211.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned