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Red8
19544.0
59908.4
817513.3
Blue28
71778.9
62307.0
703919.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2635020406080828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.31.8
14.412.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 6.5
7039
#10
19.80.8
17.316.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Second
5990
#22
8.41.8
7.15.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End0.2
blue by 0.5
7177
#25
8.90.8
6.75.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.7
Third
1954
#28
4.01.8
4.32.4
Auto2.6
Teleop0.2
End1.2
blue by 3.0
6230
#24
7.00.8
8.17.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed