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Red44
56358.9
616810.4
703919.8
Blue38
571513.4
784522.5
338813.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395502060801004438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#10
19.80.1
17.317.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 2.7
22.50.9
22.421.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End10.7
Second
6168
#15
10.40.1
11.111.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 3.0
13.50.9
15.014.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Third
5635
#18
8.90.1
10.110.2
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End5.5
blue by 4.5
5715
#19
13.40.9
12.011.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed