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Red56
263020.8
595112.8
529113.7
Blue67
333932.6
513513.8
59908.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248203040607080901005667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#13
20.80.4
22.422.0
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 11.8
32.61.4
30.331.7
Auto10.5
Teleop15.7
End6.5
Second
5291
#11
13.70.3
13.212.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 0.1
5135
#16
13.81.4
11.212.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Third
5951
#21
12.80.4
12.912.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End5.2
red by 4.5
5990
#22
8.41.4
4.35.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed