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Red23
529113.7
513513.8
59286.6
Blue16
71778.9
432010.3
56358.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342901020405060702316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#16
13.80.9
8.87.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 3.6
4320
#14DQ
10.32.2
7.85.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
Second
5291
#11
13.70.5
10.09.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
red by 4.8
5635
#18
8.92.2
8.66.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End5.5
Third
5928
#27DQ
6.60.9
12.411.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 2.3
7177
#25DQ
8.92.2
11.59.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed