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Red22
46610.4
784522.5
19544.0
Blue42
458616.1
383513.7
263020.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242060801002242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.2
11.311.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.0
End10.7
red by 1.7
2630
#13
20.80.5
15.115.7
Auto10.3
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
1954
#28
4.00.2
5.75.5
Auto2.6
Teleop0.2
End1.2
blue by 12.1
16.10.5
13.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End7.5
Third
4661
#26
0.40.2
6.56.4
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.6
End-0.3
blue by 13.3
3835
#12
13.70.5
8.79.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned