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Red18
22127.1
59908.4
595112.8
Blue39
62307.0
571513.4
307527.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343320253035401839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#21
12.81.9
12.410.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End5.2
blue by 14.1
27.00.4
13.413.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.0
End9.1
Second
5990
#22
8.41.9
9.77.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End0.2
blue by 5.1
5715
#19
13.40.4
7.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
2212
#23
7.11.9
9.47.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.2
red by 0.1
6230
#24DQ
7.00.4
10.510.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed