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Red30
19544.0
59286.6
529113.7
Blue32
432010.3
441611.2
383513.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2140060803032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#11
13.70.5
12.913.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Level
3835
#12
13.70.2
13.613.4
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End3.0
Second
5928
#27
6.60.6
6.06.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 4.5
4416
#17
11.20.2
10.810.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.9
Third
1954
#28
4.00.6
3.44.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.2
End1.2
blue by 6.3
4320
#14
10.30.2
10.910.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed