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Red48
474415.7
165715.8
338813.5
Blue47
817513.3
595112.8
513513.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51382060804847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.1
16.316.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End9.9
red by 1.9
5135
#16
13.80.7
12.613.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Second
15.70.1
16.316.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.7
red by 2.4
13.30.7
12.613.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Third
13.50.1
14.014.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End3.4
red by 0.6
5951
#21
12.80.7
12.613.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed