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Red84
331625.5
209621.4
513519.2
Blue86
157429.6
673818.1
703922.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625302040801001208486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#18
25.51.3
24.725.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End4.4
blue by 4.1
1574
#16
29.61.5
23.124.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.9
End8.5
Second
2096
#15
21.41.3
18.419.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
blue by 1.0
7039
#11
22.41.5
19.821.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Third
5135
#12
19.21.3
13.815.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End9.0
red by 1.1
6738
#10
18.11.7
8.19.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsEarned