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Red39
221210.9
308313.4
784530.2
Blue50
223122.1
674020.8
610417.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474930406070803950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
22.522.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
red by 8.1
2231
#14
22.10.4
16.817.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
3083
#25
13.40.4
15.515.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 7.4
6740
#20
20.80.4
12.212.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
Third
2212
#19
10.90.4
7.16.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
blue by 6.1
6104
#13
17.00.4
15.616.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed