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Red32
71777.5
43196.1
513519.2
Blue21
194211.3
221210.9
15764.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34360204060803221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#12
19.20.0
20.120.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End9.0
red by 7.9
1942
#26
11.31.3
14.913.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End3.1
Second
7177
#24
7.50.0
7.87.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.7
End3.4
blue by 3.4
2212
#19
10.90.8
13.412.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
Third
4319
#23
6.10.0
4.34.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End1.1
red by 1.6
1576
#27
4.50.8
5.04.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed