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Red38
307533.7
308313.4
561424.0
Blue115
673818.1
169070.1
610417.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761065015020038115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.72.5
37.435.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
blue by 36.4
70.11.0
60.561.5
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
Second
24.02.5
23.921.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.1
End5.3
red by 5.9
6738
#10
18.11.0
16.417.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Third
3083
#25
13.42.5
13.711.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 3.6
6104
#13
17.01.0
18.619.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsMissed77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned