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Red59
67417.9
674020.8
565426.2
Blue105
703922.4
223122.1
157746.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489815020059105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.2
24.624.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End6.9
blue by 19.9
46.11.3
38.239.5
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End7.9
Second
6740
#20
20.80.2
16.716.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
blue by 1.6
7039
#11
22.41.3
23.324.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Third
6741
#22
7.90.2
10.010.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 14.2
2231
#14
22.11.3
24.325.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed