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Red65
331625.5
306519.8
703922.4
Blue137
784530.2
169070.1
673818.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112405010015020065137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#18
25.50.0
21.821.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End4.4
blue by 44.6
70.11.6
64.566.1
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
Second
7039
#11
22.40.0
23.923.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
blue by 7.7
30.21.6
26.227.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Third
3065
#17
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End7.7
red by 1.7
6738
#10
18.11.6
17.919.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned