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Red46
308313.4
15764.5
674020.8
Blue87
209621.4
307533.7
565426.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28930204060801001201404687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#20
20.80.3
20.020.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.7
blue by 12.9
33.70.5
33.233.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
Second
3083
#25
13.40.3
10.811.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 12.8
26.20.5
24.224.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End6.9
Third
1576
#27
4.50.3
3.43.7
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 16.9
2096
#15
21.40.5
21.822.3
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsEarned