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Red50
43196.1
194211.3
331625.5
Blue137
169070.1
263028.0
308313.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912505010015020050137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#18
25.50.7
24.325.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End4.4
blue by 44.6
70.11.9
66.668.5
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
Second
1942
#26
11.30.8
10.511.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 16.7
28.01.9
25.927.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Third
4319
#23
6.10.7
4.65.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End1.1
blue by 7.3
3083
#25
13.41.9
12.214.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned