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Red120
157746.1
169070.1
15764.5
Blue52
209621.4
703922.4
306519.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133615010015020012052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.1
68.568.6
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
red by 47.7
7039
#11
22.40.4
23.322.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Second
46.10.1
44.544.6
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End7.9
red by 24.7
2096
#15
21.40.4
22.321.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End6.2
Third
1576
#27
4.50.1
2.93.0
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 15.2
3065
#17
19.80.4
20.720.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.6
End7.7