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Red130
157746.1
169070.1
15764.5
Blue68
157429.6
561424.0
610417.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133685010015020013068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.2
68.869.0
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
red by 40.6
1574
#16
29.60.1
30.130.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.9
End8.5
Second
46.10.2
44.845.0
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End7.9
red by 22.1
24.00.1
24.624.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.1
End5.3
Third
1576
#27
4.50.2
3.23.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 12.4
6104
#13
17.00.1
17.617.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End4.4