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Red82
565426.2
157746.1
15764.5
Blue71
307533.7
263028.0
194211.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54632040801008271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.11.7
26.328.0
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End7.9
red by 12.4
33.70.3
28.128.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
Second
26.21.7
22.724.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End6.9
blue by 1.8
28.00.3
19.920.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Third
1576
#27
4.51.7
3.04.7
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 6.7
1942
#26
11.30.6
9.810.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned