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Red78
458624.1
513519.2
784530.2
Blue96
67417.9
333929.4
169070.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51105204060801201401601807896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.3
22.123.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
blue by 40.0
70.10.3
51.251.5
Auto16.3
Teleop41.7
End12.1
Second
24.11.3
17.618.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End10.6
blue by 5.4
29.40.3
31.732.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End6.8
Third
5135
#12
19.21.3
15.116.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End9.0
red by 11.3
6741
#22
7.90.3
9.19.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned