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Red97
307533.7
333929.4
67417.9
Blue79
263028.0
784530.2
308313.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74754050607080901009779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.6
33.333.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
red by 3.5
30.20.2
29.129.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Second
29.40.6
29.029.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End6.8
red by 1.4
28.00.2
27.027.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Third
6741
#22
7.90.6
7.58.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
blue by 5.5
3083
#25
13.40.2
13.213.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End2.3