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Red62
307533.7
333929.4
67417.9
Blue65
263028.0
784530.2
43196.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7864020401001201401606265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.2
33.933.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.5
End9.0
red by 3.5
30.20.1
29.329.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End12.5
Second
29.40.2
29.629.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End6.8
red by 1.4
28.00.1
27.227.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Third
6741
#22
7.90.2
8.17.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
red by 1.8
4319
#23
6.10.1
5.35.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End1.1