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Red0
598721.8
223014.6
616812.0
Blue77
383518.3
599013.3
194313.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54470204080100120140077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10DQ
21.80.0
22.322.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End9.1
red by 3.5
3835
#19
18.30.1
18.418.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Second
2230
#7DQ
14.60.0
15.115.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 1.3
5990
#11
13.30.1
13.413.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End6.3
Third
6168
#20DQ
12.00.0
12.512.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End4.7
blue by 1.3
1943
#24
13.30.1
13.413.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End5.3