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Red41
338819.3
433817.2
817512.1
Blue87
383518.3
599013.3
194313.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544302060801004187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End3.6
red by 1.0
3835
#19
18.30.9
17.218.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Second
17.20.3
17.517.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End6.2
red by 3.9
5990
#11
13.30.9
12.213.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End6.3
Third
8175
#17
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 1.2
1943
#24
13.30.9
12.213.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End5.3